ArbitrageFreeSABR.jl

Author fabienlefloch
Popularity
3 Stars
Updated Last
1 Year Ago
Started In
September 2019

Package ArbitrageFreeSABR

Status Coverage
Build Status codecov.io

Julia package to accompany the paper Finite Difference Techniques for Arbitrage-Free SABR. The code is not meant for production purpose and does not cater for corner cases. It is only meant to illustrate the main techniques described in the paper.

Installation

In a Julia REPL, enter pkg mode (by pressing ]) and run:

(v1.0) pkg> add ArbitrageFreeSABR

Julia version 1.0 or higher is required.

Usage

Start by creating a SABRMaturity structure, which represents the parameters of the SABR model for a given option maturity. It takes the SABR parameters α,β,ρ,ν as well as the forward and the expiry time (in fractions of year - expiry=1.0 means 1 year). An additional parameter specifies the underlying SABRModel, which can be either the standard ArbitrageFreeSABRModel() or the FreeBoundarySABRModel().

maturity = SABRMaturity(α,β,ρ,ν,forward,expiry,ArbitrageFreeSABRModel())

Then make a TransformedDensity structure via makeTransformedDensityLawsonSwayne. This function will solve the arbitrage-free PDE on a grid using the specified number of space steps N and time steps timesteps, and spanning nd standard deviations below and above. nd=4 is a reasonable choice.

density = makeTransformedDensityLawsonSwayne(maturity, N, timesteps, nd)

And price vanilla call and puts of a given strike by evaluating the TransformedDensity.

priceTransformedDensity(density, true, strike, ArbitrageFreeSABR.midpoint)

The second parameter specifies whether we want to price a call (true) or a put (false). The last parameter specifies the interpolation in between grid nodes. The original Hagan et al.(2014) paper corresponds to ArbitrageFreeSABR.none, while our paper corresponds to ArbitrageFreeSABR.midpoint. In the future, we may add a quadratic interpolation.

Examples

Price from the paper: Hagan example

We use the same parameters as the example of negative density with the standard SABR formula in (Hagan et al., 2014): α = 35%, β = 0.25, ρ = −10%, ν = 100% and forward f = 1% for a maturity of one year. The finite difference grid extends to nd=4 standard deviations and is composed of N=500 steps for the probability density dimension ϑ and 5 time steps.

using ArbitrageFreeSABR

forward = 1.0; expiry = 1.0;
α = 0.35; β = 0.25; ν = 1.0; ρ = -0.1;
N = 500; timesteps = 5; nd = 4;
maturity = SABRMaturity(α,β,ρ,ν,forward,expiry,ArbitrageFreeSABRModel())
density = makeTransformedDensityLawsonSwayne(maturity, N, timesteps, nd)
isCall = true; strike = forward;
priceTransformedDensity(density, isCall, strike, ArbitrageFreeSABR.midpoint)

The reference price is 0.149701955629

Plot the implied density

Here, we reproduce the plot of the implied density, using the parameters of Hagan et al. (2014), using a small grid.

using ArbitrageFreeSABR
using Gadfly

forward = 1.0; expiry = 1.0;
α = 0.35; β = 0.25; ν = 1.0; ρ = -0.1;
N = 50; timesteps = 5; nd = 4;
maturity = SABRMaturity(α,β,ρ,ν,forward,expiry,ArbitrageFreeSABRModel())
density = makeTransformedDensityLawsonSwayne(maturity, N, timesteps, nd)

We may plot the internal discrete density:

plot(x=density.zm, y=density.ϑ, Geom.line,  Guide.ylabel("Grid density"),Guide.xlabel("ϑ"))

The implied probability density is obtained by computing the second derivative of the call option prices, here we implement a simple numerical differentiation.

ε = 1e-3; h = 2.0/1000; strikes = collect(0:1000) * h .+ ε;
impliedDensity = zeros(length(strikes));
price(strike) = priceTransformedDensity(density, true, strike, ArbitrageFreeSABR.midpoint)
@. impliedDensity = (price(strikes+ε)-2*price(strikes) +price(strikes-ε)) /ε^2
plot(x=strikes[2:end],y=impliedDensity[2:end], Geom.line, Guide.ylabel("Implied density"),Guide.xlabel("Strike"))

This results in the following figure.

Implied density of the arbitrage-free SABR model, using Hagan (2014) parameters

As we used only 50 space steps, we can see clearly the staircase.

Implied volatility of the free-boundary SABR model

Here is an example of how to use the free-boundary SABR model instead of the more classic SABR model. We use the same parameters as Antonov et al. for the free-boundary SABR model: forward = 50 bps, β = 0.1; α = 0.5*forward^(1-β); ν = 0.30; ρ = -0.30 for an option of expiring in three years. Because the model allows for negative strikes, we will plot the volatility in the Bachelier model (the b.p. vol corresponds to the Bachelier vol multiplied by 10000) implied by each option price.

using Gadfly
using ArbitrageFreeSABR

forward = 50*1e-4; expiry = 3.0;
β = 0.1; α = 0.5*forward^(1-β); ν = 0.30; ρ = -0.30;
N = 500; timesteps = 50; nd = 4;
maturity = SABRMaturity(α,β,ρ,ν,forward,expiry,FreeBoundarySABRModel())
density = makeTransformedDensityLawsonSwayne(maturity, N, timesteps, nd)

h = 5.0/1000; strikes = (collect(0:1000) * h .- 1.0)*forward ; prices = zeros(length(strikes));
price(strike) = priceTransformedDensity(density, true, strike, ArbitrageFreeSABR.midpoint)
@. prices = price(strikes)
vols = zeros(length(strikes));
vol(price, strike) = bachelierVolatility(price, true, strike, forward, expiry)
@. vols = vol(prices, strikes)
plot(x=strikes/forward,y=vols, Geom.line, Guide.ylabel("Implied volatility"),Guide.xlabel("Strike in forward units"))

Implied Bachelier volatility of the free-boundary SABR model, using Antonov et al. parameters

We may plot the implied density similarly as in our previous example:

ε = 1e-4; impliedDensity = zeros(length(strikes));
@. impliedDensity = (price(strikes+ε)-2*price(strikes) +price(strikes-ε)) /ε^2
plot(x=strikes[1:end]/forward,y=impliedDensity[1:end], Geom.line, Guide.ylabel("Implied density"),Guide.xlabel("Strike in forward units"))

Implied density of the free-boundary SABR model, using Antonov et al. parameters

This shows the spike at the strike price of zero, of Antonov et al.. This spike stems from the model, and not from any artificial numerical error.

Convergence table

Here, we compute the at-the-money implied volatility for a sequence of doubling time steps and space steps, as well as the ratio of the differences between consecutive results. A ratio of 4 corresponds to second-order convergence.

using ArbitrageFreeSABR
using DataFrames

forward = 1.0; expiry = 1.0;
α = 0.35; β = 0.25; ν = 1.0; ρ = -0.1;
maturity = SABRMaturity(α,β,ρ,ν,forward,expiry,ArbitrageFreeSABRModel())
isCall = true; strike = forward;
N = collect(0:5); @. N = 2 ^ N * 80;
timesteps = collect(0:5); @. timesteps = 2^ timesteps * 5;
vol0 = NaN
diff0 = NaN
df = DataFrame(N=Int[], timesteps=Int[], ATM_vol=Float64[], diff=Float64[], ratio=Float64[])
for (Ni, timestepsi) in zip(N, timesteps)
  density = makeTransformedDensityLawsonSwayne(maturity, Ni, timestepsi, 4)  
  price = priceTransformedDensity(density, isCall, strike, ArbitrageFreeSABR.midpoint)
  vol = 100*impliedVolatilityLiSORTS(price, true, strike, forward, expiry, 1.0, 0.0, 1e-12, 64)
  global df = vcat(df, DataFrame(N=Ni, timesteps=timestepsi, ATM_vol=vol, diff=vol-vol0, ratio= diff0/(vol-vol0)))
  global diff0 = vol-vol0
  global vol0 = vol
end
print(df)

This results in

Row N timesteps ATM_vol diff ratio
1 80 5 37.7508 NaN NaN
2 160 10 37.7328 -0.0180661 NaN
3 320 20 37.7285 -0.00422614 4.27485
4 640 40 37.7275 -0.00104294 4.05213
5 1280 80 37.7272 -0.000258917 4.0281
6 2560 160 37.7272 -6.45699e-5 4.00988

Mistakes

The first moment is not strictly conserved. With regards to the continuous integral the conservation is only up to order \( O(h^2) \). It is only conserved strictly with regards to \( \hat{F}_j \). This is still useful to establish a simple call option pricing formula based on the discrete probability density.

The mid-point approximation does not lead to a continuous cumulative density. It is continuous only relative to \( O(h) \). As a result, the probability density, and indirectly the gamma may exhibit spurious oscillations when the numerical differentiation step size is smaller than h. A more exact approximation is to consider a discontinuous piecewise-linear function for the probability density, such that the zero-th and first moments are preserved (with regards to \( \hat{F}j \) ). The density will be guaranteed positive on the condition that \( \hat{F}j > \frac{1}{3}F_j + \frac{2}{3} F{j-1} \). Alternatively, a C2 cubic spline interpolation on top of the call prices at the knots \((F_j)\) may be used, along with first derivatives \( -1+P_L, -P_R \), at \( F{\min}, F_{\max} \). This leads to a continuous probability density function, and will respect zero-th and first moment conservation formulas over the full interval (rather than over sub-intervals). Note that it is a priori not guaranteed that the interpolated density will stay positive.

Testing

In a Julia REPL session, enter pkg mode and run test ArbitrageFreeSABR.

Used By Packages

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